Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.002933 0.003071 0.003210 0.003364 0.003527 0.003697 0.003885
2025-04-20 0.002695 0.002901 0.003119 0.003368 0.003644 0.003943 0.004292
2025-04-27 0.002574 0.002825 0.003097 0.003417 0.003783 0.004192 0.004685
2025-05-04 0.002433 0.002710 0.003016 0.003383 0.003814 0.004308 0.004920
2025-05-11 0.002324 0.002621 0.002955 0.003363 0.003851 0.004423 0.005151
2025-05-18 0.002230 0.002541 0.002897 0.003339 0.003879 0.004523 0.005361
2025-05-25 0.002187 0.002519 0.002904 0.003390 0.003994 0.004730 0.005710
2025-06-01 0.002118 0.002461 0.002864 0.003380 0.004031 0.004838 0.005935
2025-06-08 0.002047 0.002397 0.002814 0.003353 0.004044 0.004914 0.006118
2025-06-15 0.001970 0.002323 0.002747 0.003302 0.004021 0.004940 0.006234
2025-06-22 0.001903 0.002258 0.002689 0.003259 0.004006 0.004974 0.006359
2025-06-29 0.001860 0.002222 0.002664 0.003256 0.004043 0.005076 0.006580
2025-07-06 0.001773 0.002127 0.002565 0.003154 0.003945 0.004994 0.006542
2025-07-13 0.001737 0.002098 0.002547 0.003158 0.003988 0.005106 0.006782
2025-07-20 0.001721 0.002093 0.002560 0.003203 0.004088 0.005298 0.007149
2025-07-27 0.001675 0.002047 0.002518 0.003172 0.004081 0.005341 0.007294
2025-08-03 0.001636 0.002010 0.002486 0.003153 0.004090 0.005404 0.007473
2025-08-10 0.001598 0.001973 0.002453 0.003132 0.004094 0.005459 0.007640
2025-08-17 0.001589 0.001973 0.002470 0.003178 0.004196 0.005660 0.008044
2025-08-24 0.001558 0.001944 0.002447 0.003169 0.004216 0.005740 0.008258
2025-08-31 0.001524 0.001909 0.002414 0.003145 0.004213 0.005785 0.008418
2025-09-07 0.001483 0.001864 0.002366 0.003097 0.004174 0.005773 0.008482
2025-09-14 0.001447 0.001824 0.002325 0.003058 0.004145 0.005775 0.008568